I’ve tried to project my Future weight with a half dozen weight calculators. They seem kind of mixed but I’m hoping to beat the ones I’ve used.

Pre surgery weight 305

surgery weight 283

current weight 267 (13 days post op)

I would love to get down to 150-155. Most calculators say 200 ish

do you use the projections / statistics Has anyone beat them by a lot?

Let me know what you think of this calculator. (link below)

https://www.obesitycoverage.com/how-much-will-you-weigh-after-surgery/

Congratulations on 13 days post op. Hope all is going well.

It's hard to predict how much weight you will lose. The speed and amount of weight loss is different for each of us. I’m a sleeve, I surpassed the statistics.

20% chance of being within 18 lbs of my ideal weight (probably not a realistic goal). I’ll take it. I can try harder than 80% of typical folks maybe. Thanks for sharing. Hopefully I will be running races along with my son by then (that’s a dream).

I was 291.8 7 days after surgery. HW was 320.0. Goal weight was 170.0 to be at normal weight/ BMI. CW Is 145.6. I used the weight calculators too.

Good luck on your journey.

2 hours ago, Healthy_life2 said:

Let me know what you think of this calculator. (link below)

https://www.obesitycoverage.com/how-much-will-you-weigh-after-surgery/

Congratulation on 13 days post op. Hope all is going well.

I its hard to predict how much weight you will lose. The speed and amount of weight loss is different for each of us. I’m a sleeve, I surpassed the statistics.

I also just used this one... I never saw it before! Interesting

Thanks ?

the average weight loss is about 70% of your excess weight, so the calculators may be based on that. But like any other average, there are people who lose more and people who lose less. If you really work hard at this, there's no reason you can't get down to your goal. The dietitian at my surgeon's office warned me that my goal (150) was unrealistic because only about 10% of their patients lose 100% of their excess weight, yet, I did it. I worked my butt off, but I did it (and by the way - that 10% statistic is about what I've seen in peer-reviewed studies, too. But if you think about it, that's about right - it's a couple standard deviations away from the norm, so one would expect that)

I am just under 3 months out... I am already at my "50 percent chance to reach" number. I am 4 pounds from my doctors goal weight as well. Weight is starting g to come off much slower, but I will be happy even if I just maintain at this point. Though I think I will probably at least hit that 20 percent chance weight.

Been on my journey total of 14 weeks and I've lost 68% EBW or 95LBS

Great job!!!!

The link above seems to be working well - Here are my results

sLEEVE GASTRECTOMY

• 80% of patients reach at least 273 lbs 18 months after surgery.
• 50% of patients reach at least 248 lbs 18 months after surgery.
• 20% of patients reach 223 lbs 18 months after surgery.

More Info

So I am past the 80 percent but not to the 50 yet -

Edited December 2, 20196 yr by AJ Tylo

At my initial consult with my surgeon, when I weighed 229 lbs, he said he thought I could get down to 140 lbs. Post op appointment he changed it to 130. On my last visit I weighed 125 which was 93% of my excess weight lost. He told me not to lose anymore. When I asked him "Why does this paper you give me always say my 'ideal weight' is 117 lbs?" his response was "that's if you lost 100%, don't worry about that, no one ever loses 100%." I said, "no one? Well, if you've never seen anyone reach 100%, you are about to...see you in Feb!" This morning on my scale I weighed 117.8, without clothes of course! I never would of believed this a year ago. I'll be 14 months post op on the 9th.

15 hours ago, AJ Tylo said:

The link above seems to be working well - Here are my results

sLEEVE GASTRECTOMY

• 80% of patients reach at least 273 lbs 18 months after surgery.
• 50% of patients reach at least 248 lbs 18 months after surgery.
• 20% of patients reach 223 lbs 18 months after surgery.

More Info

So I am past the 80 percent but not to the 50 yet -

Thats so vague? Doesn't even say starting weight?

I hit 225 today and I'm not even 4 months. That's 96lbs gone. 68% total loss.

I have no clue i just clicked the link - I think these links, apps, and charts are bully poop. Glad to see you are healthy again that had to wack you a little.

You are about the same as me on this mission except i did not have the medical issues, I have never used a APP or chart or any of the marketing stuff, I just simply do not eat and thanks to a member have started cross fit, going to be a long 2020 getting balanced out but open to the challenge

@Superman84 @AJ Tylo

I agree, charts and all the stats are vague. It’s a guideline for people that are curious. You can’t predict how much or how fast your weight loss will be. It’s a different journey for all of us.

7 hours ago, Superman84 said:

Thats so vague? Doesn't even say starting weight?

@superman if you click the link, you can enter your height and weight.

https://www.obesitycoverage.com/how-much-will-you-weigh-after-surgery/

I am glad I found this thread. I was watching some of Dr. Weiner's videos yesterday, and used the calculator he suggested (from Michigan BSC I believe) and it totally deflated me. Per that calculator, according to my age, gender, starting weight and my medical history I should expect to "only" get to 195, a disappointing number for me, and I totally let that get in my head. I also am aware that even though for me I am moving a lot (11-15,000 steps per day, with a weekly average of over 12k a day), moderately brisk walking will not spur weight loss. I spent a lot of time with better self talk, i.e. I want to walk so I can enjoy my time with my family, I love moderate "hikes" and have neither the inclination nor the ambition to hike the Alps, losing 65 pounds is a "lot" so 195 is a whole lot better than where I started, etc. However, with everything else that is going on in the world that number took on a whole lot more meaning that I should EVER have let it. Much happier running a few other calculators showing a lower number! Also, that I am currently at 40 pounds, so even if I "only" lose 5 this month, if the double your weight loss at the 4 month point holds true I'm at 90 pounds on that calculator.

The honeymoon of the first few months is waning, and I am spending too much time in my head. I'm eating healthy, moving more, and feeling good. Why can't I stay in the moment and be grateful?